PnL (30d)

+$15,294

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$621

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

58%

671W / 480L · 37 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

675W / 511L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

1,188

across 182 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$89.44

avg win $778 · loss $545

Profit Factor

1.32

$63,778 won / $48,484 lost

Reward / Risk

1.43

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$6,458

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.3% 671W/480L	182	$190,376
🏛 Politics	33.3% 28W/56L	20	$20,777
🎬 Culture	26.3% 20W/56L	19	$18,547
⚽ Sports	58.3% 14W/10L	18	$15,778
💵 Economy	100.0% 8W/0L	2	$3,673

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

27 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	4,000	0.973	$3,890.00	$2,094.32	+116.6%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	No	3,000	0.821	$2,461.29	$-13.84	-0.6%
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026?	No	2,395	0.645	$1,544.56	$101.76	+7.1%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	1,000	0.615	$615.00	$-75.00	-10.9%
Will OpenAI announce earbuds or headphones in 2026?	Yes	1,000	0.265	$265.00	$-45.00	-14.5%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,502	0.075	$187.65	$-220.61	-54.0%
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from August 3 to August 5, 2026?	Yes	3,000	0.025	$76.20	$-583.13	-88.4%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,613	0.018	$48.34	$-287.56	-85.6%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,689	0.006	$17.48	$-219.74	-92.6%
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?	Yes	170	0.075	$12.75	$-31.65	-71.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	Yes	105	0.055	$5.78	$-6.57	-53.2%
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	2,178	0.003	$5.45	$-130.35	-96.0%
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	Yes	160	0.026	$4.16	$-23.64	-85.0%
Will Amal Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	91	0.029	$2.64	$-4.41	-62.6%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	60	0.028	$1.68	$-2.52	-60.0%
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	196	0.002	$0.39	$-10.33	-96.3%
Will Islamic Charitable Projects Association win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	199	0.002	$0.30	$-3.16	-91.4%
Will Free Patriotic Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	300	0.001	$0.15	$-6.41	-97.7%
Will Marada Movement win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	276	0.001	$0.14	$-6.34	-97.9%
Will Taqaddom Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	251	0.001	$0.13	$-7.66	-98.4%
Will ReLebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	250	0.001	$0.13	$-7.31	-98.3%
Will National Liberal Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	200	0.001	$0.10	$-1.69	-94.4%
Will Watani Alliance win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	153	0.001	$0.08	$-3.13	-97.6%
Will Union Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	150	0.001	$0.07	$-1.66	-95.7%
Will Kataeb Party win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?	Yes	130	0.001	$0.07	$-1.46	-95.7%