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Trader leaderboard/rocky42010

rocky42010

0x84d7b7a1d571534fbad757dfafdf9e604726298f
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$184
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-17.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
28%
77W / 196L
Win Return (30d)
28%
77W / 196L
Trades (30d)
273
across 27 markets · ~10 per market
EV / position
−$6.82
avg win $16 · loss $15
Profit Factor
0.38
$115 won / $299 lost
Reward / Risk
1.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$106
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $24,748 · all-time $8,330,128

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.1% 3,014W/3,125L 442 $165,645
⚽ Sports 36.0% 31W/55L 25 $2,241
🌤 Weather 28.0% 28W/72L 11 $612
🏛 Politics 59.1% 78W/54L 7 $6,468
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/15L 3 $1,336
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 2 $85
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $82
🤖 Tech 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

122 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No 277 0.977 $270.63 $21.33 +8.6%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat? No 268 0.945 $253.26 $4.02 +1.6%
Will Karim Benzema attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 308 0.755 $232.54 $-16.94 -6.8%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 300 0.625 $187.34 $-2.73 -1.4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 669 0.245 $163.85 $-25.47 -13.5%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes 1,242 0.125 $155.20 $-113.96 -42.3%
Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 238 0.585 $139.29 $1.19 +0.9%
Will Lionel Messi attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 138 0.953 $131.14 $-2.49 -1.9%
Will IShowSpeed attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 130 0.925 $119.88 $-0.65 -0.5%
Will Marcelo attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 123 0.675 $83.08 $-1.85 -2.2%
Valorant: Pcific Esports vs REBORN (BO3) - VCT EMEA Play-Ins REBORN 148 0.545 $80.66 $0.74 +0.9%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 152 0.510 $77.58 $1.52 +2.0%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 300 0.235 $70.39 $-4.21 -5.6%
Spread: Chicago Sky (-2.5) Los Angeles Sparks 153 0.455 $69.61 $-3.82 -5.2%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,162 0.059 $69.14 $38.64 +126.7%
Will Ricardo Quaresma attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 288 0.240 $69.12 $-46.08 -40.0%
Will Sir Alex Ferguson attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 300 0.230 $69.00 $0.00 +0.0%
Dallas Wings vs. Washington Mystics Washington Mystics 148 0.465 $68.82 $0.74 +1.1%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,249 0.054 $68.08 $12.56 +22.6%
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? No 1,250 0.052 $65.62 $-34.38 -34.4%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? No 488 0.130 $63.48 $14.65 +30.0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? No 64 0.957 $61.67 $0.48 +0.8%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No 820 0.069 $56.20 $-9.43 -14.4%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,211 0.045 $55.11 $-7.97 -12.6%
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? Yes 48 1.000 $47.98 $0.22 +0.5%