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Trader leaderboard/rocky42010

rocky42010

0x84d7b7a1d571534fbad757dfafdf9e604726298f
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$44
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$15
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.7%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
97%
143W / 4L · 902 open
Win Return (30d)
77%
799W / 244L · 6 open
Trades (30d)
1,049
across 11 markets · ~95 per market
EV / position
+$10.97
avg win $15 · loss $1
Profit Factor
53.79
$45 won / $1 lost
Reward / Risk
17.93
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$12
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $18,725 · all-time $8,324,106

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 49.1% 3,014W/3,125L 442 $165,645
⚽ Sports 36.0% 31W/55L 25 $2,241
🌤 Weather 28.0% 28W/72L 11 $612
🏛 Politics 59.1% 78W/54L 7 $6,468
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/15L 3 $1,336
🎬 Culture 0.0% 0W/4L 2 $85
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/4L 1 $82
🤖 Tech 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

88 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? No 277 0.973 $269.38 $20.08 +8.1%
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-06 House seat? No 268 0.945 $253.26 $4.02 +1.6%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026? No 860 0.275 $236.61 $-6.96 -2.9%
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes 300 0.625 $187.34 $-2.73 -1.4%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? Yes 299 0.545 $162.97 $10.47 +6.9%
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes 1,242 0.125 $155.20 $-113.96 -42.3%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? Yes 300 0.295 $88.36 $19.25 +27.8%
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting? No 488 0.145 $70.81 $21.97 +45.0%
Will the Los Angeles Chargers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,249 0.054 $68.08 $12.56 +22.6%
Will the Republicans win the Wyoming Senate race in 2026? No 1,250 0.051 $64.38 $-35.62 -35.6%
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? No 820 0.068 $55.38 $-10.26 -15.6%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,211 0.045 $55.11 $-7.97 -12.6%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,162 0.040 $45.90 $15.40 +50.5%
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 300 0.145 $43.50 $-4.50 -9.4%
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No 712 0.061 $43.42 $-5.79 -11.8%
Will the Green Bay Packers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,249 0.035 $43.09 $-7.23 -14.4%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,250 0.030 $38.12 $-0.90 -2.3%
Will the Jacksonville Jaguars win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 1,250 0.029 $36.86 $-7.29 -16.5%
Will the Houston Texans win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 926 0.039 $36.13 $5.55 +18.1%
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes 279 0.125 $34.81 $-23.65 -40.5%
Will the Republican Party win the FL-26 House seat? No 223 0.155 $34.59 $-0.46 -1.3%
Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? No 720 0.046 $33.10 $-98.18 -74.8%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 742 0.041 $30.03 $3.42 +12.9%
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes 300 0.095 $28.50 $-16.53 -36.7%
Will Atlanta Braves win the 2026 NL East title? No 194 0.140 $27.14 $-7.87 -22.5%