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Trader leaderboard/nicolasGurr

nicolasGurr

0x848df648f91091f0f90d941990764c895d1235e6
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$0
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$16
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.1%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
0%
0W / 1L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
0%
0W / 3L
Trades (30d)
3
across 2 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
−$0.20
· loss $0
Profit Factor
0.00
$0 won / $0 lost
Reward / Risk
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
−$0
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,913 · all-time $300,711

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.1% 66W/37L 36 $23,451
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $825
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $201
₿ Crypto 1 $1

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 2,107 0.740 $1,559.39 $210.97 +15.6%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? Yes 778 0.979 $761.20 $174.64 +29.8%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 682 0.740 $504.92 $189.23 +59.9%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No 387 0.940 $363.39 $60.59 +20.0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 332 0.815 $270.54 $44.79 +19.8%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 237 0.930 $220.35 $42.74 +24.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $11.00 +6.3%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 150 0.815 $122.23 $6.74 +5.8%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? No 150 0.670 $100.50 $1.50 +1.5%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes 510 0.185 $94.43 $-18.27 -16.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No 208 0.435 $90.69 $-41.22 -31.3%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 113 0.560 $63.49 $2.81 +4.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 200 0.095 $19.00 $-85.00 -81.7%