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Trader leaderboard/nicolasGurr

nicolasGurr

0x848df648f91091f0f90d941990764c895d1235e6
PnL (30d)
+$1,195
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$258
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+8.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
64%
66W / 37L · 33 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
94W / 42L
Trades (30d)
136
across 36 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$49.80
avg win $167 · loss $185
Profit Factor
1.81
$2,672 won / $1,477 lost
Reward / Risk
0.90
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$90
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,913 · all-time $300,711

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 64.1% 66W/37L 36 $23,325
🏛 Politics 0.0% 0W/2L 6 $699
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/1L 2 $219
₿ Crypto 1 $19

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

13 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No 2,107 0.735 $1,548.85 $200.43 +14.9%
Will Russia enter Orikhiv by September 30? Yes 778 0.973 $756.15 $169.58 +28.9%
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes 682 0.740 $504.92 $189.23 +59.9%
Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by August 31, 2026? No 387 0.940 $363.39 $60.59 +20.0%
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No 332 0.805 $267.26 $41.50 +18.4%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes 237 0.931 $220.47 $42.86 +24.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No 200 0.925 $185.00 $11.00 +6.3%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 150 0.815 $122.23 $6.74 +5.8%
Will Russia capture Dovha Balka by September 30? No 150 0.665 $99.75 $0.75 +0.8%
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? Yes 510 0.185 $94.43 $-18.27 -16.2%
Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? No 208 0.435 $90.69 $-41.22 -31.3%
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? Yes 113 0.560 $63.49 $2.81 +4.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 200 0.090 $18.00 $-86.00 -82.7%