| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
41,132 |
0.978 |
$40,206.86 |
$1,303.44 |
+3.4% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
21,740 |
0.981 |
$21,316.30 |
$312.08 |
+1.5% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
19,032 |
0.977 |
$18,594.71 |
$601.27 |
+3.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
19,978 |
0.924 |
$18,469.47 |
$345.76 |
+1.9% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
15,687 |
1.000 |
$15,678.85 |
$291.98 |
+1.9% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
15,775 |
0.983 |
$15,506.40 |
$255.41 |
+1.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
14,819 |
1.000 |
$14,811.87 |
$222.50 |
+1.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
14,952 |
0.977 |
$14,600.76 |
$581.61 |
+4.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9,794 |
0.964 |
$9,436.39 |
$910.82 |
+10.7% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
9,151 |
0.983 |
$8,990.76 |
$54.20 |
+0.6% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
8,428 |
0.962 |
$8,108.01 |
$229.49 |
+2.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7,512 |
0.999 |
$7,504.82 |
$76.34 |
+1.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
7,190 |
0.945 |
$6,794.39 |
$18.61 |
+0.3% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
6,854 |
0.935 |
$6,408.45 |
$616.50 |
+10.6% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
6,472 |
0.950 |
$6,148.04 |
$436.56 |
+7.6% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
6,086 |
0.983 |
$5,982.95 |
$7.77 |
+0.1% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,445 |
0.945 |
$5,145.51 |
$199.48 |
+4.0% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
4,458 |
0.985 |
$4,388.66 |
$143.25 |
+3.4% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
3,675 |
0.982 |
$3,609.32 |
$100.79 |
+2.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
3,409 |
1.000 |
$3,406.82 |
$15.60 |
+0.5% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
3,032 |
0.985 |
$2,985.21 |
$74.89 |
+2.6% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
3,379 |
0.855 |
$2,888.64 |
$233.30 |
+8.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,251 |
0.865 |
$2,811.94 |
$15.82 |
+0.6% |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,822 |
0.981 |
$2,767.32 |
$28.48 |
+1.0% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,679 |
0.985 |
$2,637.28 |
$47.15 |
+1.8% |