| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
40,563 |
0.981 |
$39,772.35 |
$1,426.53 |
+3.7% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? |
No |
21,740 |
0.985 |
$21,403.26 |
$399.04 |
+1.9% |
| Iran leadership change by August 31? |
No |
19,032 |
0.977 |
$18,585.20 |
$591.76 |
+3.3% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
19,978 |
0.926 |
$18,509.42 |
$385.71 |
+2.1% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
No |
15,687 |
0.993 |
$15,576.88 |
$190.01 |
+1.2% |
| Iran invades Kuwait by August 31? |
No |
15,775 |
0.983 |
$15,506.40 |
$255.41 |
+1.7% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
14,819 |
0.993 |
$14,708.14 |
$118.76 |
+0.8% |
| Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
14,952 |
0.977 |
$14,600.76 |
$581.61 |
+4.1% |
| Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by September 30, 2026? |
No |
9,794 |
0.964 |
$9,436.39 |
$910.82 |
+10.7% |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
Yes |
9,151 |
0.980 |
$8,967.88 |
$31.32 |
+0.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? |
No |
7,959 |
0.963 |
$7,660.81 |
$233.47 |
+3.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
7,512 |
0.999 |
$7,501.06 |
$72.58 |
+1.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 15? |
No |
6,783 |
0.940 |
$6,375.98 |
$650.06 |
+11.4% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,621 |
0.960 |
$6,356.00 |
$123.03 |
+2.0% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
6,472 |
0.940 |
$6,083.32 |
$371.84 |
+6.5% |
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? |
No |
6,086 |
0.980 |
$5,961.65 |
$-13.53 |
-0.2% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
5,445 |
0.945 |
$5,145.51 |
$199.48 |
+4.0% |
| Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
4,458 |
0.985 |
$4,388.66 |
$143.25 |
+3.4% |
| Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31? |
No |
3,675 |
0.983 |
$3,611.16 |
$102.63 |
+2.9% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
3,409 |
1.000 |
$3,406.82 |
$15.60 |
+0.5% |
| Hormuz Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
3,032 |
0.986 |
$2,989.76 |
$79.43 |
+2.7% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
3,379 |
0.855 |
$2,888.64 |
$233.30 |
+8.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
3,251 |
0.855 |
$2,779.43 |
$-16.69 |
-0.6% |
| Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,822 |
0.981 |
$2,767.32 |
$28.48 |
+1.0% |
| Greater Tunb Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
2,679 |
0.985 |
$2,637.28 |
$47.15 |
+1.8% |