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Trader

0x834074be3d8ce6ebca809f5df0d5b016a025b29b
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$77
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-15.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
49%
106W / 112L · 2 open
Win Return (30d)
49%
106W / 112L · 2 open
Trades (30d)
220
across 77 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.01
avg win $3 · loss $4
Profit Factor
0.58
$105 won / $181 lost
Reward / Risk
0.75
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$71
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,959 · all-time $169,109

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 56.3% 2,317W/1,798L 1769 $25,268
⚽ Sports 50.0% 60W/60L 46 $289
₿ Crypto 85.7% 24W/4L 27 $366
🌤 Weather 0.0% 0W/13L 5 $147

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

49 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? Yes 375 0.188 $70.50 $61.50 +683.3%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5? No 53 1.000 $52.97 $30.18 +132.4%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5? No 48 1.000 $47.98 $27.12 +130.0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 145 0.128 $18.56 $9.57 +106.5%
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title? Yes 100 0.098 $9.75 $0.75 +8.3%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 128 0.075 $9.60 $0.64 +7.1%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election? No 30 0.284 $8.52 $1.23 +16.8%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 180 0.046 $8.28 $-0.72 -8.0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 692 0.011 $7.96 $-1.04 -11.5%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 204 0.037 $7.65 $-1.33 -14.8%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes 250 0.029 $7.38 $-1.62 -18.1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5 Under 7 0.840 $5.88 $1.05 +21.7%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5) St. Louis Cardinals 8 0.710 $5.68 $0.56 +10.9%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 9 0.600 $5.40 $0.27 +5.3%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes 128 0.040 $5.06 $-3.90 -43.6%
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North? Yes 112 0.034 $3.81 $-5.15 -57.5%
Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 100 0.032 $3.15 $-5.85 -65.0%
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 100 0.029 $2.95 $-6.05 -67.2%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 90 0.032 $2.88 $-6.03 -67.7%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes 900 0.003 $2.25 $-6.75 -75.0%
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 128 0.015 $1.92 $-7.04 -78.6%
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 112 0.017 $1.90 $-7.06 -78.8%
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 150 0.011 $1.57 $-7.42 -82.5%
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes 180 0.006 $1.17 $-7.83 -87.0%
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes 18 0.054 $0.98 $0.87 +799.9%