PnL (30d)

−$896

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$27

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-3.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

2,315W / 1,797L · 23 open

Win Return (30d)

56%

2,317W / 1,799L · 19 open

Trades (30d)

4,135

across 1,767 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.51

avg win $3 · loss $5

Profit Factor

0.78

$3,100 won / $3,996 lost

Reward / Risk

0.63

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$678

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	56.3% 2,315W/1,797L	1767	$25,243
⚽ Sports	48.6% 106W/112L	77	$518
₿ Crypto	87.9% 29W/4L	31	$478
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/13L	5	$147

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

48 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Boston Red Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series?	Yes	375	0.178	$66.94	$57.94	+643.8%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 5?	No	53	0.991	$52.52	$29.73	+130.5%
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on August 5?	No	48	1.000	$47.98	$27.12	+130.0%
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	145	0.127	$18.34	$9.35	+104.0%
Will Minnesota Twins win the 2026 AL Central title?	Yes	100	0.110	$11.00	$2.00	+22.2%
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	128	0.075	$9.60	$0.64	+7.1%
Will Mike Mazzei win the 2026 Oklahoma Governor Republican primary election?	No	30	0.285	$8.56	$1.27	+17.4%
Will the Philadelphia Eagles win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	180	0.045	$8.19	$-0.81	-9.0%
Will the Indianapolis Colts win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	692	0.011	$7.96	$-1.04	-11.5%
Will the New England Patriots win the 2027 NFL league championship?	Yes	204	0.037	$7.65	$-1.33	-14.8%
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	Yes	250	0.029	$7.38	$-1.62	-18.1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 11.5	Under	7	0.840	$5.88	$1.05	+21.7%
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)	St. Louis Cardinals	8	0.710	$5.68	$0.56	+10.9%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees	New York Yankees	9	0.595	$5.35	$0.22	+4.4%
Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	128	0.040	$5.06	$-3.90	-43.6%
Will Cleveland Browns win the 2026 AFC North?	Yes	112	0.033	$3.70	$-5.26	-58.8%
Will Ted Cruz be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	128	0.025	$3.20	$-5.76	-64.3%
Will Raphael Warnock be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	100	0.032	$3.15	$-5.85	-65.0%
Will Miami Heat win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	90	0.032	$2.83	$-6.08	-68.2%
Will Red Bull Racing be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?	Yes	900	0.003	$2.25	$-6.75	-75.0%
Will Ron DeSantis be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	112	0.018	$1.96	$-7.00	-78.1%
Will Michelle Obama be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	150	0.011	$1.57	$-7.42	-82.5%
Will Byron Donalds be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee?	Yes	100	0.015	$1.45	$-7.55	-83.9%
Will Utah Jazz win the 2027 NBA Finals?	Yes	180	0.006	$1.17	$-7.83	-87.0%
Will Chicago Fire FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?	Yes	18	0.058	$1.05	$0.94	+858.3%