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Trader

0x82ae434f983771a5bc94092a6850da80368e2890
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$17
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$57
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-1.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
15%
24W / 132L · 106 open
Win Return (30d)
25%
59W / 180L · 23 open
Trades (30d)
262
across 41 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
−$1.19
avg win $0 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.07
$1 won / $18 lost
Reward / Risk
0.10
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$1
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $71,845 · all-time $2,917,184

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 43.3% 9,181W/12,022L 1585 $130,398
⚽ Sports 46.4% 1,527W/1,766L 185 $8,737
₿ Crypto 29.7% 623W/1,475L 135 $5,463
🏛 Politics 98.1% 51W/1L 32 $6,395
🌤 Weather 9.9% 18W/164L 24 $568
🎬 Culture 70.2% 80W/34L 23 $735
💵 Economy 57.1% 52W/39L 18 $1,069
🤖 Tech 100.0% 93W/0L 5 $277

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

200 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? No 1,197 0.978 $1,170.21 $-1.10 -0.1%
Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? No 393 0.967 $380.03 $-0.19 -0.1%
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? No 392 0.875 $342.76 $-5.15 -1.5%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? No 290 0.655 $189.95 $3.85 +2.1%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? Yes 181 0.998 $180.63 $66.80 +58.7%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? Yes 153 0.999 $152.72 $45.08 +41.9%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? Up 182 0.735 $134.09 $0.31 +0.2%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? No 116 1.000 $116.02 $29.39 +33.9%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? No 113 0.955 $107.87 $20.56 +23.5%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? No 171 0.625 $106.64 $12.62 +13.4%
Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? Yes 291 0.345 $100.35 $-1.81 -1.8%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? No 93 1.000 $93.10 $23.14 +33.1%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? Yes 89 1.000 $89.23 $27.64 +44.9%
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? No 72 1.000 $71.96 $8.66 +13.7%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 401 0.165 $66.09 $-8.02 -10.8%
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? No 65 1.000 $64.97 $16.42 +33.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? Yes 171 0.375 $63.97 $-14.01 -18.0%
Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs 1WIN 60 1.000 $60.22 $18.43 +44.1%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 100 0.595 $59.77 $16.89 +39.4%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No 70 0.845 $59.15 $-2.45 -4.0%
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? No 200 0.285 $56.98 $-59.02 -50.9%
Iran leadership change by December 31? No 65 0.855 $55.57 $0.33 +0.6%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? No 107 0.515 $55.12 $5.73 +11.6%
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? Yes 64 0.855 $55.01 $9.33 +20.4%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 108 0.485 $52.38 $-5.12 -8.9%