| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
1,197 |
0.978 |
$1,170.21 |
$-1.10 |
-0.1% |
| Will inflation reach more than 10% in 2026? |
No |
393 |
0.967 |
$380.03 |
$-0.19 |
-0.1% |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? |
No |
392 |
0.875 |
$342.76 |
$-5.15 |
-1.5% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
No |
290 |
0.660 |
$191.40 |
$5.30 |
+2.8% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
181 |
0.998 |
$180.54 |
$66.71 |
+58.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
153 |
0.999 |
$152.72 |
$45.08 |
+41.9% |
| S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on August 5? |
Up |
167 |
0.860 |
$144.00 |
$21.22 |
+17.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? |
No |
116 |
1.000 |
$116.02 |
$29.39 |
+33.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
113 |
0.950 |
$107.31 |
$19.99 |
+22.9% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
166 |
0.630 |
$104.34 |
$13.43 |
+14.8% |
| Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? |
Yes |
291 |
0.340 |
$98.92 |
$-3.23 |
-3.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 5? |
No |
93 |
1.000 |
$93.10 |
$23.14 |
+33.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 5? |
Yes |
89 |
1.000 |
$89.23 |
$27.64 |
+44.9% |
| Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
72 |
1.000 |
$71.96 |
$8.66 |
+13.7% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
83 |
0.795 |
$65.95 |
$0.43 |
+0.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
65 |
1.000 |
$64.97 |
$16.42 |
+33.8% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
Yes |
171 |
0.370 |
$63.12 |
$-14.86 |
-19.1% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
100 |
0.600 |
$60.27 |
$17.39 |
+40.6% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
70 |
0.845 |
$59.15 |
$-2.45 |
-4.0% |
| Counter-Strike: Arcade Esports vs Abyssal (BO3) - Dfrag Open Series #6 Group B |
Abyssal |
58 |
1.000 |
$58.30 |
$24.00 |
+70.0% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
200 |
0.290 |
$58.00 |
$-58.00 |
-50.0% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
65 |
0.855 |
$55.57 |
$0.33 |
+0.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
107 |
0.515 |
$55.12 |
$5.73 |
+11.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
Yes |
64 |
0.855 |
$55.01 |
$9.33 |
+20.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
Yes |
108 |
0.485 |
$52.38 |
$-5.12 |
-8.9% |