| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,350 |
0.675 |
$911.25 |
$47.25 |
+5.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
794 |
0.970 |
$769.66 |
$13.04 |
+1.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,125 |
0.455 |
$511.88 |
$5.62 |
+1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
500 |
1.000 |
$499.71 |
$153.74 |
+44.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
497 |
0.855 |
$424.52 |
$76.96 |
+22.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
483 |
0.655 |
$316.12 |
$2.41 |
+0.8% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
300 |
0.945 |
$283.50 |
$22.50 |
+8.6% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? |
No |
299 |
0.945 |
$282.43 |
$56.36 |
+24.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
313 |
0.853 |
$267.11 |
$45.94 |
+20.8% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
257 |
0.961 |
$246.61 |
$7.06 |
+2.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
247 |
0.845 |
$208.53 |
$43.07 |
+26.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
Yes |
452 |
0.399 |
$180.44 |
$-36.33 |
-16.8% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
225 |
0.795 |
$178.88 |
$129.38 |
+261.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
175 |
0.973 |
$169.83 |
$-0.35 |
-0.2% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
200 |
0.785 |
$157.31 |
$1.00 |
+0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
126 |
0.999 |
$125.51 |
$47.87 |
+61.7% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
135 |
0.885 |
$119.63 |
$15.55 |
+14.9% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
91 |
0.950 |
$86.45 |
$31.85 |
+58.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
84 |
0.998 |
$83.76 |
$34.22 |
+69.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
193 |
0.385 |
$74.48 |
$-8.71 |
-10.5% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
No |
207 |
0.350 |
$72.39 |
$-38.18 |
-34.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
51 |
0.895 |
$45.66 |
$23.72 |
+108.1% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.955 |
$5.43 |
$1.11 |
+25.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
6 |
0.695 |
$3.99 |
$0.32 |
+8.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
21 |
0.095 |
$1.98 |
$-8.85 |
-81.7% |