| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,350 |
0.675 |
$911.25 |
$47.25 |
+5.5% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
No |
794 |
0.970 |
$769.66 |
$13.04 |
+1.7% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
Yes |
1,125 |
0.455 |
$511.88 |
$5.62 |
+1.1% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? |
Yes |
500 |
1.000 |
$499.71 |
$153.74 |
+44.4% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
497 |
0.855 |
$424.52 |
$76.96 |
+22.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
483 |
0.635 |
$306.46 |
$-7.24 |
-2.3% |
| Iran leadership change by September 30? |
No |
300 |
0.945 |
$283.50 |
$22.50 |
+8.6% |
| Will ANSEM flip PUMP by December 31, 2026? |
No |
299 |
0.945 |
$282.43 |
$56.36 |
+24.9% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
313 |
0.850 |
$266.17 |
$45.00 |
+20.3% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
No |
257 |
0.961 |
$246.61 |
$7.06 |
+2.9% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
247 |
0.835 |
$206.07 |
$40.60 |
+24.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
Yes |
225 |
0.785 |
$176.62 |
$127.12 |
+256.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15? |
No |
175 |
0.969 |
$169.04 |
$-1.13 |
-0.7% |
| Will Inde Navarrette win Best Actress at the 99th Academy Awards? |
No |
200 |
0.785 |
$157.31 |
$1.00 |
+0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? |
Yes |
126 |
0.999 |
$125.45 |
$47.81 |
+61.6% |
| Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%? |
Yes |
135 |
0.885 |
$119.63 |
$15.55 |
+14.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August? |
No |
207 |
0.425 |
$87.90 |
$-22.67 |
-20.5% |
| Israel closes its airspace by August 15? |
No |
91 |
0.930 |
$84.63 |
$30.03 |
+55.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
84 |
0.999 |
$83.84 |
$34.30 |
+69.2% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
193 |
0.385 |
$74.48 |
$-8.71 |
-10.5% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
No |
51 |
0.890 |
$45.41 |
$23.47 |
+107.0% |
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? |
No |
6 |
0.955 |
$5.43 |
$1.11 |
+25.7% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? |
No |
6 |
0.695 |
$3.99 |
$0.32 |
+8.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
21 |
0.115 |
$2.40 |
$-8.44 |
-77.9% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
8 |
0.145 |
$1.18 |
$-2.98 |
-71.6% |