PnL (30d)

−$0

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-0.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

76%

107W / 33L · 11 open

Win Return (30d)

75%

113W / 38L

Trades (30d)

151

across 90 markets · ~2 per market

EV / position

−$0.00

avg win $1 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.00

$50 won / $51 lost

Reward / Risk

0.37

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$14

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	76.4% 107W/33L	90	$1,558
🏛 Politics	0.0% 0W/2L	4	$59
💵 Economy	0.0% 0W/2L	2	$23
🤖 Tech	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$9
⚽ Sports	100.0% 2W/0L	1	$14

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

7 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?	No	22	0.968	$21.03	$1.03	+5.2%
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by August 31?	No	22	0.905	$19.89	$-0.11	-0.5%
Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?	No	22	0.705	$15.50	$-4.51	-22.5%
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by August 7, 2026?	No	11	0.982	$10.34	$0.33	+3.3%
Israel closes its airspace by August 15?	No	10	0.930	$8.85	$0.86	+10.7%
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?	No	8	0.986	$8.14	$0.14	+1.8%
Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026?	No	9	0.870	$7.82	$-0.18	-2.2%