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Trader leaderboard/de5nuts

de5nuts

0x80a0da00fbdc8440b0ef601341f14c3e24795708
Scoped to Sports — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$19,806
Sports · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$10,705
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-28.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
69%
249W / 113L · 319 open
Win Return (30d)
53%
360W / 321L
Trades (30d)
681
across 15 markets · ~45 per market
EV / position
−$1,980.58
avg win $1,210 · loss $5,172
Profit Factor
0.23
$6,052 won / $25,858 lost
Reward / Risk
0.23
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $106,121 · all-time $7,527,243

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 72.4% 410W/156L 46 $211,729
⚽ Sports 2 $1,518
🏛 Politics 2 $1,330
₿ Crypto 2 $4,470
💵 Economy 2 $4,470

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

30 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No 26,703 0.957 $25,541.08 $2,810.05 +12.4%
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes 44,659 0.255 $11,387.99 $201.28 +1.8%
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 10,700 0.905 $9,688.81 $27.18 +0.3%
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No 20,197 0.461 $9,300.87 $-3,610.19 -28.0%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? No 7,000 0.825 $5,774.99 $-24.99 -0.4%
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? No 32,613 0.170 $5,544.26 $-10,205.09 -64.8%
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 20,486 0.213 $4,373.82 $-1,495.78 -25.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? Yes 11,767 0.335 $3,941.93 $-4,068.93 -50.8%
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No 4,000 0.935 $3,740.00 $180.00 +5.1%
US strike on Colombia by December 31? Yes 15,805 0.235 $3,714.22 $1,012.29 +37.5%
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 20,000 0.151 $3,030.00 $1,920.02 +173.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? No 15,106 0.195 $2,945.72 $-3,661.77 -55.4%
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 15,000 0.147 $2,204.99 $1,015.02 +85.3%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 3,124 0.594 $1,853.96 $-587.93 -24.1%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? Yes 14,300 0.095 $1,358.50 $-1,062.44 -43.9%
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? Yes 43,040 0.032 $1,355.77 $-6,113.33 -81.8%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? Yes 6,000 0.175 $1,050.00 $-1,309.99 -55.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? Yes 9,000 0.110 $990.00 $-1,119.95 -53.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 5,000 0.155 $775.00 $-425.00 -35.4%
Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 30,000 0.021 $641.99 $492.00 +328.0%
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes 7,682 0.074 $568.46 $-507.00 -47.1%
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? Yes 5,057 0.105 $530.99 $-829.94 -61.0%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? No 2,000 0.095 $190.00 $-190.00 -50.0%
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes 8,210 0.022 $180.61 $82.10 +83.3%
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? Yes 5,325 0.031 $165.07 $-709.67 -81.1%