| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? |
No |
26,703 |
0.957 |
$25,541.08 |
$2,810.05 |
+12.4% |
| US strike on Cuba by December 31? |
Yes |
44,659 |
0.255 |
$11,387.99 |
$201.28 |
+1.8% |
| Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
10,700 |
0.905 |
$9,688.81 |
$27.18 |
+0.3% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
No |
20,197 |
0.460 |
$9,280.67 |
$-3,630.39 |
-28.1% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
32,613 |
0.195 |
$6,359.59 |
$-9,389.76 |
-59.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
7,000 |
0.835 |
$5,844.99 |
$45.01 |
+0.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
11,767 |
0.385 |
$4,530.28 |
$-3,480.58 |
-43.4% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
20,486 |
0.213 |
$4,373.82 |
$-1,495.78 |
-25.5% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
4,000 |
0.935 |
$3,740.00 |
$180.00 |
+5.1% |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
15,805 |
0.235 |
$3,714.22 |
$1,012.29 |
+37.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
No |
15,106 |
0.205 |
$3,096.78 |
$-3,510.70 |
-53.1% |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.151 |
$3,030.00 |
$1,920.02 |
+173.0% |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
15,000 |
0.143 |
$2,152.49 |
$962.52 |
+80.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
3,124 |
0.623 |
$1,946.11 |
$-495.78 |
-20.3% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
14,300 |
0.110 |
$1,573.00 |
$-847.95 |
-35.0% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
43,040 |
0.033 |
$1,398.81 |
$-6,070.28 |
-81.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
6,000 |
0.215 |
$1,290.00 |
$-1,069.99 |
-45.3% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in August? |
Yes |
9,000 |
0.125 |
$1,125.00 |
$-984.95 |
-46.7% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Yes |
5,000 |
0.155 |
$775.00 |
$-425.00 |
-35.4% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
30,000 |
0.021 |
$641.99 |
$492.00 |
+328.0% |
| China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? |
Yes |
7,682 |
0.076 |
$587.66 |
$-487.80 |
-45.4% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
5,057 |
0.105 |
$530.99 |
$-829.94 |
-61.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
2,000 |
0.105 |
$210.00 |
$-170.00 |
-44.7% |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31? |
Yes |
5,325 |
0.036 |
$191.70 |
$-683.05 |
-78.1% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
8,210 |
0.022 |
$180.61 |
$82.10 |
+83.3% |