| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.655 |
$9.50 |
$-0.07 |
-0.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
56 |
0.155 |
$8.67 |
$-1.96 |
-18.4% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.375 |
$7.60 |
$-1.93 |
-20.2% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.450 |
$7.12 |
$-2.85 |
-28.6% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.340 |
$6.84 |
$-2.81 |
-29.2% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
107 |
0.050 |
$5.37 |
$-4.29 |
-44.4% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
17 |
0.295 |
$4.96 |
$-4.62 |
-48.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.205 |
$4.22 |
$-5.66 |
-57.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
24 |
0.165 |
$4.02 |
$-5.72 |
-58.7% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.025 |
$3.68 |
$-6.83 |
-65.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.105 |
$3.14 |
$-6.73 |
-68.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
20 |
0.130 |
$2.57 |
$-7.30 |
-74.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
20 |
0.105 |
$2.07 |
$-6.85 |
-76.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.557 |
$1.86 |
$-0.65 |
-26.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.125 |
$0.21 |
$-0.48 |
-69.5% |