| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? |
No |
14 |
0.635 |
$9.21 |
$-0.36 |
-3.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
Yes |
56 |
0.160 |
$8.95 |
$-1.68 |
-15.8% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
No |
20 |
0.385 |
$7.81 |
$-1.72 |
-18.1% |
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? |
No |
16 |
0.460 |
$7.28 |
$-2.69 |
-27.0% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? |
No |
20 |
0.295 |
$5.93 |
$-3.72 |
-38.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? |
No |
107 |
0.055 |
$5.91 |
$-3.76 |
-38.9% |
| US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? |
No |
17 |
0.295 |
$4.96 |
$-4.62 |
-48.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? |
No |
24 |
0.175 |
$4.26 |
$-5.48 |
-56.2% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? |
No |
21 |
0.195 |
$4.01 |
$-5.87 |
-59.4% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
Yes |
150 |
0.025 |
$3.68 |
$-6.83 |
-65.0% |
| Iran full airspace closure by August 31? |
Yes |
30 |
0.115 |
$3.44 |
$-6.43 |
-65.2% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
No |
20 |
0.130 |
$2.57 |
$-7.30 |
-74.0% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? |
No |
20 |
0.105 |
$2.07 |
$-6.85 |
-76.8% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? |
No |
3 |
0.531 |
$1.78 |
$-0.74 |
-29.4% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? |
Yes |
2 |
0.100 |
$0.17 |
$-0.52 |
-75.6% |