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Trader leaderboard/J25525

J25525

0x7e80049eb08ac45b6ddadd8d069db6fd94ba631b
PnL (30d)
−$3,158
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$1,213
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-9.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
23%
1,942W / 6,438L · 2,543 open
Win Return (30d)
21%
2,223W / 8,192L · 508 open
Trades (30d)
10,923
across 3,265 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.33
avg win $1 · loss $2
Profit Factor
0.15
$537 won / $3,695 lost
Reward / Risk
0.45
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$163
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $13,537 · all-time $8,420,423

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 23.2% 1,942W/6,438L 3265 $65,852
🌤 Weather 46.8% 58W/66L 52 $384
🏛 Politics 48.4% 15W/16L 50 $386
🎬 Culture 27.6% 16W/42L 47 $350
⚽ Sports 37.5% 3W/5L 34 $338
💵 Economy 33.3% 5W/10L 26 $263
🤖 Tech 65.2% 15W/8L 20 $198
₿ Crypto 0.0% 0W/2L 5 $30
🔬 Science 1 $4

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

180 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
NZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote) Labour 20 0.595 $11.90 $-2.30 -16.2%
Will Josh Jacobs finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most rushing touchdowns? Yes 50 0.095 $4.75 $-1.75 -26.9%
Will Helena Foulkes win the 2026 Rhode Island Governor Democratic primary election? No 20 0.230 $4.59 $0.29 +6.7%
Will the median home value in the US be between $433,000 and $440,000 on September 30? Yes 50 0.075 $3.76 $-5.77 -60.5%
Will Linda Gorton win the 2026 Lexington mayoral election? No 15 0.225 $3.38 $-1.57 -31.8%
Will Mitchell Berman be the WI-01 Democratic nominee? Yes 3 0.998 $3.01 $0.63 +26.3%
Will Lateefah Simon win the CA-12 House seat? No 51 0.055 $2.79 $-0.76 -21.4%
Will Tigres UANL record the most clean sheets in the 2026-27 Liga MX season? Yes 20 0.135 $2.70 $-1.90 -41.3%
Will Trump say "Six Seven" during remarks in Las Vegas? Yes 20 0.135 $2.70 $-0.50 -15.6%
Will Intercontinental Exchange self-certify sports event contracts by December 31, 2026? Yes 20 0.130 $2.62 $-4.64 -63.9%
Will Arizona Cardinals finish the 2026-27 NFL regular season with the most return yards? Yes 20 0.130 $2.60 $0.40 +18.2%
Will Junior Caminero hit 50 or more home runs during the 2026 MLB regular season? Yes 6 0.399 $2.53 $1.70 +206.9%
Will Bangsamoro Federalist Party (BFP) win the most seats in the 2026 BARMM Parliamentary Elections? Yes 5 0.525 $2.50 $1.69 +208.8%
Will Moonshot have the best Code Arena | WebDev AI at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.111 $2.22 $-0.20 -8.3%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 94-95°F on August 5? No 3 0.665 $2.20 $-0.05 -2.2%
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.110 $2.20 $0.40 +22.2%
Will Vivek Ramaswamy be the 2028 Republican Vice-Presidential nominee? Yes 20 0.107 $2.15 $0.75 +53.6%
Will Casemiro attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 20 0.105 $2.14 $-2.14 -50.0%
Will OpenAI be the #2 AI lab at the end of September 2026? Yes 20 0.105 $2.10 $-0.30 -12.5%
John Ratcliffe out as CIA Director by December 31? Yes 20 0.105 $2.10 $-1.90 -47.5%
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-34 House seat? No 50 0.042 $2.10 $-0.25 -10.6%
Will Casey Askar be the FL-22 Republican nominee? Yes 19 0.107 $2.03 $-0.28 -12.3%
Will Nicolás Castro (Toluca) record the most assists in the 2026-27 Liga MX season? Yes 20 0.095 $1.90 $0.70 +58.3%
Will Anthropic be the second-best Math AI lab at the end of August 2026? Yes 20 0.095 $1.90 $-0.50 -20.8%
Will JPMorgan (JPM) close at USD 1 trillion or more market cap by December 31? No 3 0.585 $1.76 $0.68 +62.5%