| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
258 |
0.117 |
$30.00 |
$-0.13 |
-0.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.915 |
$25.00 |
$-0.14 |
-0.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.261 |
$15.61 |
$2.07 |
+15.3% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.886 |
$12.91 |
$0.01 |
+0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
13 |
0.924 |
$11.69 |
$0.39 |
+3.4% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.938 |
$6.97 |
$0.05 |
+0.7% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? |
No |
7 |
0.973 |
$6.44 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? |
Yes |
18 |
0.363 |
$6.44 |
$3.24 |
+101.7% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.915 |
$6.04 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.855 |
$5.59 |
$0.56 |
+11.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.853 |
$5.57 |
$0.54 |
+10.7% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.155 |
$5.43 |
$-2.98 |
-35.4% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
818 |
0.006 |
$5.32 |
$-0.41 |
-7.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$5.11 |
$0.08 |
+1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.925 |
$5.05 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.988 |
$4.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.962 |
$4.95 |
$-0.05 |
-1.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.95 |
$-0.08 |
-1.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.976 |
$4.93 |
$-0.07 |
-1.4% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.978 |
$4.89 |
$0.16 |
+3.3% |
| Will GPT-6 be released by August 21, 2026? |
Yes |
42 |
0.110 |
$4.66 |
$-0.42 |
-8.3% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
13 |
0.356 |
$4.58 |
$-0.43 |
-8.6% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.825 |
$4.41 |
$-0.62 |
-12.2% |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,246 |
0.003 |
$3.12 |
$-4.36 |
-58.3% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
320 |
0.007 |
$2.40 |
$-0.16 |
-6.3% |