| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
258 |
0.117 |
$30.00 |
$-0.13 |
-0.4% |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? |
No |
27 |
0.915 |
$25.00 |
$-0.14 |
-0.5% |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
60 |
0.261 |
$15.61 |
$2.07 |
+15.3% |
| Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
15 |
0.885 |
$12.89 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
No |
13 |
0.927 |
$11.73 |
$0.42 |
+3.7% |
| Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.938 |
$6.97 |
$0.05 |
+0.7% |
| Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? |
Yes |
18 |
0.364 |
$6.46 |
$3.27 |
+102.5% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December? |
No |
7 |
0.973 |
$6.44 |
$0.00 |
+0.0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? |
No |
7 |
0.915 |
$6.04 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
Yes |
35 |
0.160 |
$5.60 |
$-2.80 |
-33.3% |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? |
No |
7 |
0.855 |
$5.59 |
$0.56 |
+11.0% |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? |
Yes |
7 |
0.850 |
$5.55 |
$0.52 |
+10.3% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
818 |
0.006 |
$5.32 |
$-0.41 |
-7.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$5.11 |
$0.08 |
+1.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.925 |
$5.05 |
$0.03 |
+0.5% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.988 |
$4.99 |
$-0.01 |
-0.1% |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by October 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.935 |
$4.95 |
$-0.08 |
-1.6% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.976 |
$4.93 |
$-0.07 |
-1.3% |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
No |
5 |
0.957 |
$4.93 |
$-0.08 |
-1.5% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.981 |
$4.90 |
$0.17 |
+3.6% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
13 |
0.357 |
$4.58 |
$-0.42 |
-8.5% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
5 |
0.835 |
$4.47 |
$-0.56 |
-11.2% |
| Will Candace Owens win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,246 |
0.003 |
$3.12 |
$-4.36 |
-58.3% |
| Will Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
Yes |
320 |
0.007 |
$2.40 |
$-0.16 |
-6.3% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
5 |
0.225 |
$1.24 |
$-3.82 |
-75.5% |