| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
258 |
0.870 |
$224.36 |
$21.84 |
+10.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
201 |
0.992 |
$198.84 |
$37.08 |
+22.9% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
315 |
0.555 |
$175.00 |
$-26.76 |
-13.3% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
173 |
0.986 |
$170.56 |
$27.63 |
+19.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
170 |
0.960 |
$163.63 |
$19.63 |
+13.6% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
160 |
0.955 |
$152.72 |
$3.47 |
+2.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
150 |
0.965 |
$144.58 |
$55.43 |
+62.2% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
139 |
0.979 |
$135.92 |
$10.61 |
+8.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
143 |
0.880 |
$126.09 |
$13.60 |
+12.1% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
120 |
1.000 |
$119.94 |
$18.25 |
+17.9% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
135 |
0.835 |
$113.09 |
$59.76 |
+112.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
112 |
1.000 |
$112.30 |
$10.32 |
+10.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? |
Yes |
112 |
1.000 |
$112.12 |
$84.77 |
+309.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.994 |
$109.28 |
$2.28 |
+2.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
194 |
0.555 |
$107.78 |
$2.97 |
+2.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
192 |
0.555 |
$106.36 |
$-8.76 |
-7.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6? |
No |
121 |
0.855 |
$103.20 |
$20.97 |
+25.5% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? |
No |
103 |
0.997 |
$102.49 |
$12.95 |
+14.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5? |
No |
113 |
0.860 |
$97.18 |
$-0.80 |
-0.8% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on August 6? |
No |
112 |
0.830 |
$92.94 |
$-3.51 |
-3.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.994 |
$92.45 |
$8.92 |
+10.7% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? |
No |
184 |
0.500 |
$92.05 |
$-6.04 |
-6.2% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
110 |
0.839 |
$92.03 |
$-6.09 |
-6.2% |
| Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? |
Yes |
150 |
0.605 |
$90.84 |
$78.33 |
+626.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? |
No |
88 |
1.000 |
$87.79 |
$6.91 |
+8.5% |