| Will July 2026 be the 1st hottest on record? |
Yes |
258 |
0.870 |
$224.36 |
$21.84 |
+10.8% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Oakland County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
201 |
0.992 |
$198.84 |
$37.08 |
+22.9% |
| Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
315 |
0.550 |
$173.42 |
$-28.33 |
-14.0% |
| Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? |
Yes |
173 |
0.986 |
$170.56 |
$27.63 |
+19.3% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
170 |
0.900 |
$153.41 |
$9.41 |
+6.5% |
| Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31? |
No |
160 |
0.954 |
$152.64 |
$3.39 |
+2.3% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary? |
No |
150 |
0.976 |
$146.23 |
$57.08 |
+64.0% |
| No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? |
Yes |
139 |
0.975 |
$135.37 |
$10.06 |
+8.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 5? |
No |
143 |
0.840 |
$120.36 |
$7.87 |
+7.0% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 5? |
No |
120 |
1.000 |
$119.94 |
$18.25 |
+17.9% |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
135 |
0.835 |
$113.09 |
$59.76 |
+112.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on August 5? |
No |
112 |
1.000 |
$112.30 |
$10.32 |
+10.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 5? |
Yes |
112 |
1.000 |
$112.12 |
$84.77 |
+309.8% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026? |
No |
110 |
0.994 |
$109.28 |
$2.28 |
+2.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 30°C on August 6? |
No |
192 |
0.555 |
$106.36 |
$-8.76 |
-7.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 35°C on August 6? |
No |
194 |
0.535 |
$103.90 |
$-0.92 |
-0.9% |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the Michigan Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? |
No |
103 |
0.997 |
$102.49 |
$12.95 |
+14.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 5? |
No |
113 |
0.865 |
$97.75 |
$-0.23 |
-0.2% |
| Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 6? |
No |
124 |
0.750 |
$93.16 |
$8.54 |
+10.1% |
| Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C or higher on August 6? |
No |
112 |
0.830 |
$92.94 |
$-3.51 |
-3.6% |
| Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026? |
No |
93 |
0.994 |
$92.45 |
$8.92 |
+10.7% |
| Will Russell Fry be the new Republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina? |
No |
110 |
0.838 |
$91.98 |
$-6.15 |
-6.3% |
| Will Lucas Jumalon Win the 2026 WSOP Main Event? |
Yes |
150 |
0.605 |
$90.84 |
$78.33 |
+626.0% |
| Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 5? |
No |
88 |
1.000 |
$87.79 |
$6.91 |
+8.5% |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on August 6? |
No |
184 |
0.460 |
$84.69 |
$-13.40 |
-13.7% |