Log in
Trader leaderboard/ragutwo

ragutwo

0x7db8cfe928918e6f7f80a31d98757d97e743ed19
PnL (30d)
+$3,393
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$155
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+32.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
63%
670W / 396L · 138 open
Win Return (30d)
60%
723W / 480L · 1 open
Trades (30d)
1,204
across 198 markets · ~6 per market
EV / position
+$21.48
avg win $77 · loss $20
Profit Factor
2.90
$5,176 won / $1,783 lost
Reward / Risk
3.94
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$187
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $11,430 · all-time $191,703

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 62.9% 670W/396L 198 $24,181
⚽ Sports 36.4% 12W/21L 21 $187
🏛 Politics 69.1% 38W/17L 13 $1,168
🎬 Culture 100.0% 7W/0L 3 $79
💵 Economy 0.0% 0W/14L 2 $148
₿ Crypto 1 $3

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

32 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Russia capture Lyman by September 30, 2026? No 475 0.855 $406.16 $4.98 +1.2%
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? No 434 0.815 $353.67 $1.15 +0.3%
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No 226 0.820 $185.03 $65.61 +54.9%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 31? No 200 0.440 $88.00 $-2.00 -2.2%
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? Yes 107 0.625 $66.88 $0.53 +0.8%
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? Yes 75 0.480 $36.00 $-1.50 -4.0%
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? No 57 0.528 $30.37 $0.44 +1.5%
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by August 15? Yes 134 0.160 $21.47 $-1.34 -5.9%
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 294 0.060 $17.67 $2.94 +20.0%
Callum Turner announced as next James Bond? Yes 73 0.240 $17.43 $-7.31 -29.5%
No one announced as next James Bond? Yes 79 0.206 $16.39 $4.98 +43.6%
Theo James announced as next James Bond? Yes 61 0.232 $14.15 $12.92 +1057.5%
Will Russia capture Vodianske by September 30? Yes 39 0.230 $8.97 $-3.51 -28.1%
Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9? Yes 140 0.054 $7.56 $-0.44 -5.5%
Jack Lowdon announced as next James Bond? Yes 19 0.298 $5.71 $4.94 +645.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in August? No 40 0.135 $5.40 $-3.80 -41.3%
Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026? Yes 24 0.205 $4.92 $-2.94 -37.4%
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No 45 0.105 $4.72 $1.63 +52.8%
Jacob Elordi announced as next James Bond? Yes 38 0.118 $4.51 $3.74 +490.0%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson announced as next James Bond? Yes 38 0.117 $4.44 $-3.65 -45.1%
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes 25 0.165 $4.12 $-2.38 -36.5%
Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by December 31? Yes 47 0.079 $3.71 $-2.87 -43.6%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes 30 0.115 $3.45 $0.15 +4.5%
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No 5 0.675 $3.40 $0.90 +36.1%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes 40 0.075 $3.00 $-1.80 -37.5%