| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
2,344 |
0.935 |
$2,191.49 |
$-31.52 |
-1.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
1,919 |
0.850 |
$1,630.81 |
$192.52 |
+13.4% |
| Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
1,020 |
0.895 |
$912.78 |
$23.70 |
+2.7% |
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? |
No |
871 |
0.952 |
$828.98 |
$66.60 |
+8.7% |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,868 |
0.300 |
$560.27 |
$35.86 |
+6.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? |
No |
537 |
0.968 |
$519.73 |
$19.16 |
+3.8% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Kamianske by September 30? |
Yes |
1,332 |
0.380 |
$506.33 |
$-110.06 |
-17.9% |
| Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30, 2026? |
No |
478 |
0.940 |
$448.90 |
$40.87 |
+10.0% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
571 |
0.685 |
$391.47 |
$25.00 |
+6.8% |
| Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30? |
No |
429 |
0.745 |
$319.24 |
$-18.49 |
-5.5% |
| Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
2,419 |
0.130 |
$314.45 |
$36.36 |
+13.1% |
| Will Russia capture all of Prymorske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
298 |
0.985 |
$293.36 |
$16.84 |
+6.1% |
| Will Ukraine re-enter Obratne or Temyrivka by December 31? |
Yes |
484 |
0.565 |
$273.33 |
$44.08 |
+19.2% |
| Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026? |
No |
278 |
0.942 |
$262.02 |
$35.15 |
+15.5% |
| Will Russia capture Kindrativka by September 30? |
No |
335 |
0.660 |
$221.10 |
$-9.90 |
-4.3% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
513 |
0.425 |
$218.14 |
$-15.64 |
-6.7% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
1,561 |
0.130 |
$202.93 |
$67.29 |
+49.6% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? |
No |
215 |
0.815 |
$175.37 |
$2.45 |
+1.4% |
| Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
230 |
0.705 |
$162.21 |
$33.25 |
+25.8% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Overall) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
257 |
0.605 |
$155.48 |
$11.77 |
+8.2% |
| Will Google have a #1 AI model by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
608 |
0.245 |
$148.90 |
$-177.28 |
-54.3% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model on LiveBench (Mathematics) at the end of September 2026? |
Yes |
361 |
0.405 |
$146.21 |
$46.26 |
+46.3% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? |
Yes |
4,583 |
0.020 |
$91.67 |
$-18.67 |
-16.9% |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? |
Yes |
1,000 |
0.075 |
$75.00 |
$5.00 |
+7.1% |
| Will Russia capture Prymorske by September 30, 2026? |
No |
72 |
0.967 |
$69.97 |
$4.09 |
+6.2% |