Trader
0x7ce336595687024c9ebf620f2dcb3b71269b1689
Scoped to Weather — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$130
Weather · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
-31.0%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
29%
15W / 37L
Win Return (30d)
29%
15W / 37L
Trades (30d)
52
across 10 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$12.97
avg win $36 · loss $34
Profit Factor
0.45
$107 won / $236 lost
Reward / Risk
1.05
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$94
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $5,578 · all-time $271,220
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
| Category |
Win Resolved (per trade) |
Markets |
Volume |
|
🌐 All markets
|
55.8%
468W/370L
|
127 |
$15,502 |
|
🌤 Weather
|
0.0%
0W/9L
|
1 |
$94 |
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6? |
Yes |
94 |
0.700 |
$65.66 |
$18.22 |
+38.4% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5? |
Yes |
608 |
0.001 |
$0.30 |
$-8.53 |
-96.6% |
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5? |
Yes |
287 |
0.001 |
$0.14 |
$-128.08 |
-99.9% |