PnL (30d)

+$729

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$35

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+9.9%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

56%

468W / 370L · 34 open

Win Return (30d)

57%

493W / 379L

Trades (30d)

872

across 127 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$6.02

avg win $43 · loss $19

Profit Factor

1.52

$2,124 won / $1,396 lost

Reward / Risk

2.24

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$131

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	55.8% 468W/370L	127	$15,502
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/9L	1	$94

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 6?	Yes	94	0.765	$71.75	$24.32	+51.3%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on August 5?	Yes	608	0.001	$0.30	$-8.53	-96.6%
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on August 5?	Yes	287	0.001	$0.14	$-128.08	-99.9%