PnL (30d)

+$0

Science · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$5

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

—

no reliable basis

Win Resolved (30d)

—

no 30d activity

Win Return (30d)

100%

1W / 0L

Trades (30d)

1

across 1 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

—

no settled positions

Profit Factor

∞

no losses yet

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$311
🏛 Politics	—	2	$91
🎬 Culture	—	1	$55
🔬 Science	—	1	$55

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	6,000	0.110	$660.05	$-1,347.91	-67.1%
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	1,411	0.085	$119.89	$-75.86	-38.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	200	0.355	$71.00	$-29.00	-29.0%
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	151	0.290	$43.81	$-6.19	-12.4%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	100	0.260	$25.92	$-12.08	-31.8%
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	No	29	0.830	$23.80	$3.80	+19.0%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	230	0.100	$23.04	$-84.96	-78.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	0.075	$22.50	$-7.50	-25.0%
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?	No	30	0.690	$20.44	$0.44	+2.2%
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	100	0.175	$17.55	$3.55	+25.4%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	385	0.040	$15.19	$-34.81	-69.6%
Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next?	Yes	100	0.141	$14.03	$-5.97	-29.9%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	Yes	357	0.039	$13.94	$-26.06	-65.2%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	31	0.395	$12.39	$-2.80	-18.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	Yes	74	0.165	$12.18	$-30.82	-71.7%
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	403	0.029	$11.48	$-26.52	-69.8%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	32	0.355	$11.31	$-8.69	-43.5%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	Yes	152	0.070	$10.62	$-54.38	-83.7%
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	22	0.475	$10.56	$0.56	+5.6%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	34	0.315	$10.55	$0.55	+5.5%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.105	$10.50	$-30.50	-74.4%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	Yes	136	0.076	$10.31	$-9.69	-48.5%
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	21	0.490	$10.26	$0.26	+2.6%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Yes	339	0.026	$8.99	$-1.01	-10.1%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	333	0.026	$8.83	$-41.17	-82.3%