PnL (30d)

−$219

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-100.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

0%

0W / 2L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

25%

1W / 3L

Trades (30d)

4

across 3 markets · ~1 per market

EV / position

−$219.36

· loss $219

Profit Factor

0.00

$0 won / $219 lost

Reward / Risk

—

need wins & losses

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	0.0% 0W/2L	3	$311
🏛 Politics	—	2	$91
🎬 Culture	—	1	$55
🔬 Science	—	1	$55

Open positions

37 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Ink FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	6,000	0.105	$630.05	$-1,377.91	-68.6%
Ink FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	1,411	0.085	$119.89	$-75.86	-38.8%
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	200	0.345	$68.98	$-31.02	-31.0%
Will Arman Tsarukyan become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	151	0.200	$30.21	$-19.79	-39.6%
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	100	0.261	$25.97	$-12.03	-31.7%
Will Umar Nurmagomedov become UFC champion in 2026?	No	29	0.825	$23.66	$3.66	+18.3%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	230	0.100	$23.04	$-84.96	-78.7%
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	300	0.075	$22.50	$-7.50	-25.0%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $28B?	Yes	357	0.061	$21.98	$-18.02	-45.1%
Will Merab Dvalishvili become UFC champion in 2026?	No	30	0.685	$20.30	$0.30	+1.5%
Will Sean O'Malley become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	100	0.176	$17.65	$3.65	+26.1%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	385	0.040	$15.19	$-34.81	-69.6%
Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	Yes	31	0.395	$12.39	$-2.80	-18.4%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	Yes	74	0.165	$12.18	$-30.82	-71.7%
Ink FDV above $3B one day after launch?	Yes	403	0.029	$11.68	$-26.32	-69.3%
Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026?	No	32	0.358	$11.39	$-8.61	-43.1%
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $22B?	Yes	152	0.075	$11.38	$-53.62	-82.5%
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.110	$11.00	$-30.00	-73.2%
Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $20B by December 31?	Yes	136	0.080	$10.85	$-9.15	-45.7%
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	22	0.480	$10.67	$0.67	+6.7%
Will Ian Machado Garry become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	34	0.310	$10.38	$0.39	+3.9%
Will Ciryl Gane become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	21	0.490	$10.26	$0.26	+2.6%
Will Petr Yan fight Sean O’Malley next?	Yes	100	0.102	$10.14	$-9.86	-49.3%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	Yes	333	0.029	$9.67	$-40.33	-80.7%
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	Yes	339	0.026	$8.99	$-1.01	-10.1%