| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
466,665 |
0.790 |
$368,898.68 |
$135,566.18 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
466,665 |
0.209 |
$97,766.32 |
$-135,566.18 |
-58.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
42,691 |
0.835 |
$35,647.03 |
$3,285.38 |
+10.2% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
8,482 |
0.977 |
$8,286.75 |
$59.37 |
+0.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
13,212 |
0.625 |
$8,257.68 |
$-1,418.99 |
-14.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
8,680 |
0.945 |
$8,202.81 |
$2,308.75 |
+39.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
7,777 |
0.735 |
$5,716.10 |
$-116.65 |
-2.0% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,147 |
0.955 |
$4,915.11 |
$220.73 |
+4.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
3,211 |
0.948 |
$3,044.13 |
$216.37 |
+7.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
5,062 |
0.530 |
$2,682.97 |
$52.36 |
+2.0% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
2,483 |
0.999 |
$2,479.74 |
$41.92 |
+1.7% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
3,864 |
0.605 |
$2,337.84 |
$296.89 |
+14.5% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.117 |
$2,330.00 |
$-1,179.70 |
-33.6% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
2,314 |
0.963 |
$2,227.37 |
$84.47 |
+3.9% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
7,984 |
0.275 |
$2,195.56 |
$193.92 |
+9.7% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,103 |
0.350 |
$2,135.98 |
$-563.60 |
-20.9% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
2,220 |
0.945 |
$2,097.97 |
$63.17 |
+3.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.675 |
$2,025.00 |
$-105.00 |
-4.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.991 |
$1,981.00 |
$29.00 |
+1.5% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.974 |
$1,947.00 |
$127.60 |
+7.0% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.865 |
$1,730.00 |
$1,110.00 |
+179.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
2,375 |
0.715 |
$1,698.12 |
$250.60 |
+17.3% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
1,676 |
0.984 |
$1,647.95 |
$48.29 |
+3.0% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
1,605 |
0.976 |
$1,566.48 |
$73.88 |
+4.9% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,777 |
0.250 |
$1,444.25 |
$-263.81 |
-15.4% |