| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
466,665 |
0.790 |
$368,898.68 |
$135,566.18 |
+58.1% |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
466,665 |
0.209 |
$97,766.32 |
$-135,566.18 |
-58.1% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
42,691 |
0.845 |
$36,073.94 |
$3,712.29 |
+11.5% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
No |
8,482 |
0.977 |
$8,286.75 |
$59.37 |
+0.7% |
| Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? |
Yes |
13,212 |
0.625 |
$8,257.68 |
$-1,418.99 |
-14.7% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? |
No |
8,680 |
0.945 |
$8,202.81 |
$2,308.75 |
+39.2% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in August? |
No |
7,777 |
0.730 |
$5,677.21 |
$-155.54 |
-2.7% |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? |
No |
5,147 |
0.955 |
$4,915.11 |
$220.73 |
+4.7% |
| Iran Nuke before 2027? |
No |
3,211 |
0.952 |
$3,055.37 |
$227.61 |
+8.0% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? |
No |
5,062 |
0.545 |
$2,758.90 |
$128.29 |
+4.9% |
| Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by December 31? |
Yes |
2,483 |
0.999 |
$2,479.74 |
$41.92 |
+1.7% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
20,000 |
0.117 |
$2,330.00 |
$-1,179.70 |
-33.6% |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? |
No |
3,864 |
0.585 |
$2,260.56 |
$219.60 |
+10.8% |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? |
Yes |
7,984 |
0.280 |
$2,235.48 |
$233.84 |
+11.7% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? |
No |
2,314 |
0.963 |
$2,227.37 |
$84.47 |
+3.9% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
6,103 |
0.345 |
$2,104.85 |
$-594.72 |
-22.0% |
| Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by December 31? |
No |
2,220 |
0.945 |
$2,097.97 |
$63.17 |
+3.1% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
3,000 |
0.675 |
$2,025.00 |
$-105.00 |
-4.9% |
| Will Iran target a Arab country on August 2, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.993 |
$1,986.00 |
$34.00 |
+1.7% |
| Jeffrey Epstein foul play confirmed by December 31, 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.974 |
$1,947.00 |
$127.60 |
+7.0% |
| Mitch McConnell steps down from Senate before his term ends? |
No |
2,375 |
0.715 |
$1,698.12 |
$250.60 |
+17.3% |
| Trump goes to space in 2026? |
No |
1,676 |
0.984 |
$1,647.95 |
$48.29 |
+3.0% |
| NATO dissolves before 2027? |
No |
1,605 |
0.973 |
$1,561.66 |
$69.07 |
+4.6% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
2,000 |
0.775 |
$1,550.00 |
$930.00 |
+150.0% |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
5,777 |
0.245 |
$1,415.37 |
$-292.70 |
-17.1% |