senzer
0x7b5887dcffa32af1ec155a8835c48b4e948aeb2b
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$77
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$11
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+10.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
100%
1W / 0L · 15 open
Win Return (30d)
88%
14W / 2L
Trades (30d)
16
across 3 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
+$77.00
avg win $77
Profit Factor
∞
no losses yet
Reward / Risk
—
need wins & losses
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,591 · all-time $1,458,756
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,150 |
0.675 |
$776.26 |
$89.07 |
+13.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
610 |
0.865 |
$527.44 |
$27.44 |
+5.5% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
554 |
0.675 |
$374.04 |
$18.31 |
+5.1% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.615 |
$369.00 |
$9.50 |
+2.6% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.645 |
$322.51 |
$17.50 |
+5.7% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.635 |
$254.04 |
$-6.00 |
-2.3% |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? |
No |
250 |
0.845 |
$211.25 |
$-1.25 |
-0.6% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.815 |
$203.72 |
$31.22 |
+18.1% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
215 |
0.935 |
$201.08 |
$1.08 |
+0.5% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,150 |
0.075 |
$86.25 |
$-74.75 |
-46.4% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
650 |
0.120 |
$78.00 |
$-91.00 |
-53.8% |