| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? |
Yes |
1,150 |
0.675 |
$776.26 |
$89.07 |
+13.0% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? |
Yes |
610 |
0.865 |
$527.44 |
$27.44 |
+5.5% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
No |
590 |
0.845 |
$498.78 |
$56.17 |
+12.7% |
| Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
554 |
0.675 |
$374.04 |
$18.31 |
+5.1% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? |
Yes |
500 |
0.655 |
$327.51 |
$22.50 |
+7.4% |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? |
Yes |
400 |
0.635 |
$254.04 |
$-6.00 |
-2.3% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? |
Yes |
250 |
0.999 |
$249.62 |
$102.12 |
+69.2% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? |
No |
215 |
0.935 |
$201.08 |
$1.08 |
+0.5% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.765 |
$191.25 |
$18.75 |
+10.9% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
Yes |
250 |
0.625 |
$156.25 |
$13.75 |
+9.6% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
1,150 |
0.075 |
$86.25 |
$-74.75 |
-46.4% |
| Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? |
Yes |
650 |
0.120 |
$78.00 |
$-91.00 |
-53.8% |