PnL (30d)

−$121

Sports · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$1

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

-29.5%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

87%

1,869W / 278L · 25 open

Win Return (30d)

87%

1,886W / 278L · 8 open

Trades (30d)

2,172

across 54 markets · ~40 per market

EV / position

−$2.41

avg win $7 · loss $16

Profit Factor

0.62

$198 won / $319 lost

Reward / Risk

0.41

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 2,484W/319L	177	$2,281
🏛 Politics	60.0% 3W/2L	31	$92
🎬 Culture	—	13	$13
🤖 Tech	100.0% 83W/0L	7	$51
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$6
⚽ Sports	—	4	$3
🔬 Science	—	2	$0
₿ Crypto	—	2	$2

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

53 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	660	0.007	$4.95	$0.11	+2.3%
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	1,378	0.003	$3.45	$-3.68	-51.7%
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	1,270	0.003	$3.17	$-3.91	-55.2%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,056	0.002	$3.08	$-2.38	-43.6%
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	544	0.005	$2.72	$-0.50	-15.5%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	230	0.011	$2.65	$-0.27	-9.4%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	180	0.015	$2.61	$-0.59	-18.4%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	650	0.003	$1.62	$-0.83	-33.8%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	392	0.004	$1.57	$-0.77	-32.9%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	610	0.003	$1.52	$-0.92	-37.5%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	610	0.003	$1.52	$-1.00	-39.6%
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	370	0.004	$1.29	$-0.76	-36.9%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	489	0.003	$1.22	$0.24	+25.0%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	40	0.030	$1.22	$-0.38	-23.7%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.006	$1.20	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	50	0.024	$1.17	$0.03	+2.2%
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?	Yes	60	0.019	$1.17	$-0.03	-2.5%
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	58	0.020	$1.15	$0.14	+13.4%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.15	$-0.25	-17.9%
Will SpaceXAI have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-0.02	-2.0%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-0.15	-12.5%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	688	0.002	$1.03	$-1.47	-58.7%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	20	0.048	$0.95	$-0.05	-5.0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	231	0.004	$0.92	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	361	0.003	$0.90	$-1.54	-63.1%