PnL (30d)

+$7

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$42

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.8%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

66%

44W / 23L · 811 open

Win Return (30d)

85%

744W / 132L · 2 open

Trades (30d)

878

across 47 markets · ~19 per market

EV / position

+$1.33

avg win $4 · loss $1

Profit Factor

4.37

$9 won / $2 lost

Reward / Risk

6.55

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$1

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	88.6% 2,484W/319L	179	$2,290
🏛 Politics	60.0% 3W/2L	31	$93
🎬 Culture	—	13	$13
🤖 Tech	100.0% 83W/0L	7	$51
💵 Economy	100.0% 2W/0L	5	$6
⚽ Sports	—	4	$3
₿ Crypto	—	3	$3
🔬 Science	—	2	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	660	0.007	$4.95	$0.11	+2.3%
Will Sabrina Carpenter be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	1,378	0.003	$3.45	$-3.68	-51.7%
Will Kendrick Lamar be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	1,270	0.003	$3.17	$-3.91	-55.2%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	Yes	2,056	0.002	$3.08	$-2.38	-43.6%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	230	0.011	$2.65	$-0.27	-9.4%
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?	Yes	180	0.015	$2.61	$-0.59	-18.4%
Will The Weeknd be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	544	0.004	$2.45	$-0.77	-24.0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	650	0.003	$1.62	$-0.83	-33.8%
Will Jorge Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	Yes	392	0.004	$1.57	$-0.77	-32.9%
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	610	0.003	$1.52	$-0.92	-37.5%
Will Vladimir Putin win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	610	0.003	$1.52	$-1.00	-39.6%
Will Beyoncé be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	370	0.004	$1.29	$-0.76	-36.9%
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	489	0.003	$1.22	$0.24	+25.0%
Will Pope Leo XIV win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	40	0.030	$1.22	$-0.38	-23.7%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.006	$1.20	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	50	0.024	$1.17	$0.03	+2.2%
Will António Guterres win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	100	0.011	$1.15	$-0.25	-17.9%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?	Yes	40	0.028	$1.10	$0.10	+10.0%
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026?	Yes	300	0.004	$1.05	$-0.15	-12.5%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	688	0.002	$1.03	$-1.47	-58.7%
Will UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	20	0.049	$0.97	$-0.03	-3.0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series?	Yes	231	0.004	$0.92	$0.00	+0.0%
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?	Yes	361	0.003	$0.90	$-1.54	-63.1%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	Yes	200	0.004	$0.90	$-0.30	-25.0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	100	0.009	$0.85	$-0.25	-22.7%