| Will the US strike 8 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
218 |
0.642 |
$140.14 |
$88.80 |
+173.0% |
| Will Zohran Mamdani be the 2028 Democratic Vice-Presidential nominee? |
Yes |
1,433 |
0.057 |
$81.71 |
$-68.62 |
-45.6% |
| Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.5T and $1.75T at market close on IPO day? |
Yes |
397 |
0.170 |
$67.35 |
$7.35 |
+12.3% |
| Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
1,621 |
0.037 |
$60.79 |
$25.13 |
+70.5% |
| Will the Republicans win the Illinois Senate race in 2026? |
Yes |
980 |
0.059 |
$58.33 |
$28.74 |
+97.1% |
| Will the Republican Party win the CO-02 House seat? |
Yes |
976 |
0.059 |
$57.08 |
$14.53 |
+34.2% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 28 or 29 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,274 |
0.039 |
$49.69 |
$1.14 |
+2.4% |
| Will the Republican Party hold exactly 54 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? |
Yes |
1,801 |
0.028 |
$49.52 |
$4.12 |
+9.1% |
| Will the US strike 11 countries in 2026? |
Yes |
1,033 |
0.043 |
$44.31 |
$5.59 |
+14.4% |
| UAE x Qatar sever diplomatic relations in 2026? |
Yes |
830 |
0.051 |
$42.76 |
$3.46 |
+8.8% |
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,225 |
0.033 |
$40.41 |
$-19.59 |
-32.7% |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? |
Yes |
1,023 |
0.040 |
$40.40 |
$-14.68 |
-26.7% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
2,645 |
0.015 |
$38.36 |
$-1.32 |
-3.3% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,776 |
0.021 |
$38.02 |
$-4.06 |
-9.6% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
1,487 |
0.025 |
$37.76 |
$4.14 |
+12.3% |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? |
Yes |
106 |
0.342 |
$36.10 |
$27.98 |
+344.7% |
| Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
1,179 |
0.030 |
$35.38 |
$32.18 |
+1007.4% |
| Will Christine Fréchette be the next Premier of Quebec following the 2026 Quebec general election? |
Yes |
164 |
0.215 |
$35.24 |
$12.06 |
+52.0% |
| Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
1,582 |
0.022 |
$34.80 |
$9.62 |
+38.2% |
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? |
Yes |
258 |
0.135 |
$34.69 |
$-0.39 |
-1.1% |
| Will Xi Jinping purge Zhang Shengmin in 2026? |
Yes |
525 |
0.063 |
$33.09 |
$3.46 |
+11.7% |
| Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? |
Yes |
754 |
0.043 |
$32.73 |
$23.91 |
+271.1% |
| Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
Yes |
4,987 |
0.006 |
$32.42 |
$2.49 |
+8.3% |
| Will Gabriel Attal win the 2027 French presidential election? |
Yes |
815 |
0.040 |
$32.20 |
$14.66 |
+83.5% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
150 |
0.213 |
$31.92 |
$27.61 |
+641.5% |