Larix1
0x7a388e45fa9d76c42cbb7ab89fed0d3a2fefd6ab
Scoped to Economy — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
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PnL (30d)
+$328
Economy · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$9
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+14.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
67%
33W / 16L · 3 open
Win Return (30d)
69%
36W / 16L
Trades (30d)
52
across 4 markets · ~13 per market
EV / position
+$109.42
avg win $655 · loss $163
Profit Factor
2.01
$655 won / $326 lost
Reward / Risk
4.01
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,788 · all-time $857,245
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.855 |
$513.00 |
$187.16 |
+57.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,834 |
0.230 |
$421.91 |
$-6.30 |
-1.5% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,600 |
0.215 |
$343.99 |
$-341.98 |
-49.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
200 |
0.365 |
$73.00 |
$-37.00 |
-33.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.680 |
$68.00 |
$4.00 |
+6.2% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.210 |
$21.00 |
$-18.00 |
-46.2% |