Larix1
0x7a388e45fa9d76c42cbb7ab89fed0d3a2fefd6ab
PnL (30d)
−$555
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$55
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-8.3%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
27%
33W / 91L · 86 open
Win Return (30d)
35%
73W / 137L
Trades (30d)
210
across 15 markets · ~14 per market
EV / position
−$92.50
avg win $655 · loss $242
Profit Factor
0.54
$655 won / $1,210 lost
Reward / Risk
2.71
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$271
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $3,788 · all-time $857,245
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
6 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? |
Yes |
600 |
0.855 |
$513.00 |
$187.16 |
+57.4% |
| Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland by September 30, 2026? |
Yes |
1,834 |
0.225 |
$412.74 |
$-15.47 |
-3.6% |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? |
No |
1,600 |
0.215 |
$343.99 |
$-341.98 |
-49.9% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in August? |
Yes |
200 |
0.365 |
$73.00 |
$-37.00 |
-33.6% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.635 |
$63.50 |
$-0.50 |
-0.8% |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? |
Yes |
100 |
0.195 |
$19.50 |
$-19.50 |
-50.0% |