PnL (30d)

+$37

Culture · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$3

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+21.3%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

167W / 231L · 45 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

187W / 256L

Trades (30d)

443

across 48 markets · ~9 per market

EV / position

+$0.94

avg win $6 · loss $2

Profit Factor

1.88

$78 won / $42 lost

Reward / Risk

3.76

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$13

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.5% 1,344W/1,893L	678	$1,264
🏛 Politics	43.5% 37W/48L	17	$112
🎬 Culture	43.5% 37W/48L	17	$112
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	41	0.203	$8.30	$2.08	+33.3%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	33	0.245	$8.08	$0.76	+10.4%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.455	$6.83	$3.58	+110.0%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	47	0.085	$4.00	$-2.10	-34.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	10	0.175	$1.75	$0.05	+2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	11	0.105	$1.16	$0.05	+5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	63	0.017	$1.07	$-2.18	-67.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5	0.175	$0.88	$0.17	+25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	45	0.018	$0.81	$-1.59	-66.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5	0.135	$0.68	$0.12	+22.7%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	53	0.005	$0.27	$-1.79	-87.1%