PnL (30d)

+$49

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$4

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+8.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

42%

1,344W / 1,893L · 103 open

Win Return (30d)

42%

1,366W / 1,922L · 52 open

Trades (30d)

3,340

across 678 markets · ~5 per market

EV / position

+$0.08

avg win $1 · loss $0

Profit Factor

1.23

$266 won / $216 lost

Reward / Risk

2.51

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$36

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	41.5% 1,344W/1,893L	678	$1,264
🏛 Politics	43.5% 37W/48L	17	$112
🎬 Culture	43.5% 37W/48L	17	$112
🌤 Weather	0.0% 0W/1L	1	$0

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

11 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	33	0.265	$8.74	$1.43	+19.5%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	41	0.205	$8.43	$2.20	+35.3%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	15	0.425	$6.38	$3.12	+96.2%
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	47	0.085	$4.00	$-2.10	-34.5%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	10	0.175	$1.75	$0.05	+2.9%
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	63	0.027	$1.70	$-1.55	-47.6%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	11	0.105	$1.16	$0.05	+5.0%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5	0.175	$0.88	$0.17	+25.0%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	45	0.018	$0.83	$-1.57	-65.3%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	5	0.125	$0.62	$0.07	+13.6%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?	Yes	53	0.005	$0.29	$-1.76	-85.8%