PnL (30d)

+$804

Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$199

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+6.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

72%

286W / 114L · 164 open

Win Return (30d)

64%

362W / 202L

Trades (30d)

564

across 36 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$38.29

avg win $140 · loss $127

Profit Factor

1.79

$1,821 won / $1,016 lost

Reward / Risk

1.10

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$120

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	58.2% 489W/351L	81	$35,997
💵 Economy	64.1% 25W/14L	26	$7,134
₿ Crypto	64.1% 25W/14L	23	$6,323
🤖 Tech	—	3	$812

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

54 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	4,445	0.790	$3,513.77	$1,291.27	+58.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	1,420	0.665	$944.01	$149.11	+18.8%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,445	0.209	$931.23	$-1,291.27	-58.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	1,018	0.825	$839.85	$154.48	+22.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	No	1,012	0.823	$832.88	$-131.46	-13.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	816	0.934	$762.14	$-25.31	-3.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?	Yes	2,000	0.370	$739.99	$465.32	+169.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	654	0.920	$601.68	$39.90	+7.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	1,700	0.305	$518.50	$234.40	+82.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	449	0.850	$381.65	$-21.05	-5.2%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	872	0.360	$313.86	$-126.48	-28.7%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	2,544	0.115	$292.54	$-89.79	-23.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August?	No	1,297	0.225	$291.94	$-349.19	-54.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	402	0.645	$259.29	$45.11	+21.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	389	0.635	$247.01	$3.35	+1.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	367	0.605	$222.03	$11.37	+5.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	816	0.245	$199.87	$83.80	+72.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	868	0.195	$169.26	$10.78	+6.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	583	0.275	$160.25	$16.53	+11.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	157	0.950	$149.15	$11.82	+8.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	157	0.865	$135.81	$2.30	+1.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	150	0.755	$113.25	$10.85	+10.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	118	0.805	$94.99	$6.49	+7.3%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in August?	Yes	670	0.120	$80.42	$-58.48	-42.1%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	108	0.710	$76.93	$54.18	+238.1%