PnL (30d)

+$743

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

+$656

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+2.6%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

57%

469W / 351L · 466 open

Win Return (30d)

59%

756W / 524L · 6 open

Trades (30d)

1,286

across 81 markets · ~16 per market

EV / position

+$18.11

avg win $130 · loss $112

Profit Factor

1.35

$2,869 won / $2,126 lost

Reward / Risk

1.17

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$391

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	57.2% 469W/351L	81	$35,997
💵 Economy	34.1% 14W/27L	28	$7,517
₿ Crypto	34.1% 14W/27L	25	$6,706
🤖 Tech	—	3	$812

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

53 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	4,445	0.790	$3,513.77	$1,291.27	+58.1%
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	4,445	0.209	$931.23	$-1,291.27	-58.1%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,500 in August?	No	1,012	0.914	$925.47	$-38.86	-4.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?	Yes	1,420	0.645	$915.62	$120.71	+15.2%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.75T by December 31?	No	1,018	0.825	$839.85	$154.48	+22.5%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?	No	816	0.938	$765.41	$-22.05	-2.8%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,200 in August?	Yes	949	0.800	$758.93	$99.86	+15.2%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,300 in August?	No	1,978	0.360	$712.17	$-277.71	-28.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	654	0.920	$601.68	$39.90	+7.1%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?	Yes	1,700	0.255	$433.50	$149.40	+52.6%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,400 in August?	Yes	2,341	0.185	$433.08	$113.89	+35.7%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31?	No	449	0.865	$388.38	$-14.32	-3.6%
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?	No	872	0.425	$370.52	$-69.81	-15.9%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	Yes	2,544	0.115	$292.54	$-89.79	-23.5%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31?	No	402	0.645	$259.29	$45.11	+21.1%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.25T by December 31?	No	389	0.635	$247.01	$3.35	+1.4%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by December 31?	No	367	0.635	$233.04	$22.38	+10.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	No	868	0.220	$190.96	$32.48	+20.5%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	Yes	816	0.210	$171.32	$55.25	+47.6%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $700B by December 31?	Yes	583	0.275	$160.25	$16.53	+11.5%
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,800 in August?	No	157	0.945	$148.36	$11.04	+8.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $600B by December 31?	No	157	0.870	$136.59	$3.08	+2.3%
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.5T by December 31?	No	150	0.790	$118.50	$16.10	+15.7%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in August?	Yes	108	0.885	$95.89	$73.14	+321.4%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $900B by December 31?	Yes	118	0.780	$92.04	$3.54	+4.0%