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Trader leaderboard/lakatosnapoleon

lakatosnapoleon

0x7957c850ca3ae06364dbf88382dc6beb85e8ddbc
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$6
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
−$116
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
+0.2%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
4W / 12L · 285 open
Win Return (30d)
51%
152W / 146L · 3 open
Trades (30d)
301
across 70 markets · ~4 per market
EV / position
+$1.29
avg win $9 · loss $1
Profit Factor
3.47
$9 won / $3 lost
Reward / Risk
13.87
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $1,132 · all-time $116,335

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 40.0% 12W/18L 96 $9,054
₿ Crypto 26 $1,265
💵 Economy 18 $911
🏛 Politics 4 $217
🎬 Culture 2 $38

Open positions

69 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch? No 288 0.904 $260.12 $-4.22 -1.6%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026? No 198 0.880 $174.17 $96.31 +123.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No 170 0.925 $157.24 $15.54 +11.0%
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No 177 0.770 $136.29 $-2.80 -2.0%
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch? No 138 0.950 $131.10 $1.14 +0.9%
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch? No 140 0.884 $123.87 $-6.78 -5.2%
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch? No 111 0.972 $108.16 $0.35 +0.3%
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch? No 123 0.850 $104.91 $-1.93 -1.8%
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.935 $93.41 $3.98 +4.4%
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 102 0.895 $91.35 $35.41 +63.3%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? No 101 0.886 $89.51 $15.55 +21.0%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026? Yes 104 0.852 $88.62 $-0.46 -0.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No 100 0.885 $88.50 $11.35 +14.7%
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No 140 0.620 $86.84 $-28.63 -24.8%
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 122 0.700 $85.73 $-10.04 -10.5%
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 90 0.955 $85.64 $0.58 +0.7%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No 90 0.942 $84.73 $2.88 +3.5%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 85 0.930 $78.59 $10.04 +14.6%
Ethereal FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 77 0.948 $72.98 $0.80 +1.1%
Over $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026? No 95 0.745 $70.67 $-17.52 -19.9%
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch? No 75 0.933 $70.38 $-0.36 -0.5%
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch? No 72 0.968 $69.88 $1.15 +1.7%
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch? No 76 0.906 $69.06 $-1.43 -2.0%
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch? No 82 0.815 $66.68 $-2.01 -2.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No 70 0.945 $66.15 $8.95 +15.6%