PnL (30d)

+$58

last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$167

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+1.2%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

40%

12W / 18L · 374 open

Win Return (30d)

55%

219W / 180L · 5 open

Trades (30d)

404

across 96 markets · ~4 per market

EV / position

+$8.22

avg win $30 · loss $1

Profit Factor

18.12

$61 won / $3 lost

Reward / Risk

45.29

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

$0

no drawdown

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	40.0% 12W/18L	96	$9,054
₿ Crypto	—	30	$1,387
💵 Economy	—	22	$950
🏛 Politics	—	4	$217
🎬 Culture	—	2	$76

Open positions

69 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
Noble FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	288	0.903	$259.97	$-4.36	-1.7%
Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	198	0.880	$174.17	$96.31	+123.7%
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	170	0.925	$157.24	$15.54	+11.0%
Will Lisa Blunt Rochester vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	177	0.770	$136.29	$-2.80	-2.0%
Pacifica FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	138	0.950	$131.10	$1.14	+0.9%
Relay FDV above $900M one day after launch?	No	140	0.886	$124.15	$-6.50	-5.0%
Ostium FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	111	0.972	$108.16	$0.35	+0.3%
Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?	No	123	0.850	$104.91	$-1.93	-1.8%
Will Josh Hawley vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act?	No	119	0.800	$95.25	$-4.26	-4.3%
Will LI.FI launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.935	$93.41	$3.98	+4.4%
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	102	0.890	$90.84	$34.90	+62.4%
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?	No	101	0.885	$89.41	$15.45	+20.9%
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $5B in 2026?	Yes	104	0.852	$88.62	$-0.46	-0.5%
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	100	0.885	$88.50	$11.35	+14.7%
Noble FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	90	0.955	$85.64	$0.58	+0.7%
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	No	90	0.942	$84.73	$2.88	+3.5%
Will Fhenix launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	122	0.690	$84.49	$-11.28	-11.8%
Ethereal FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	83	0.947	$79.06	$0.78	+1.0%
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	85	0.930	$78.59	$10.04	+14.6%
Over $2.5B crypto hack value in 2026?	No	95	0.755	$71.62	$-16.57	-18.8%
Pacifica FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	75	0.934	$70.45	$-0.28	-0.4%
Ostium FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	72	0.968	$69.84	$1.12	+1.6%
Neutrl FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	76	0.905	$68.98	$-1.51	-2.1%
Relay FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	82	0.815	$66.68	$-2.01	-2.9%
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	70	0.945	$66.15	$8.95	+15.6%