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Trader leaderboard/RustyScissors

RustyScissors

0x78c592bd51493e169bc8e1f69be7b6299b66f623
Scoped to Crypto — every figure below is this category, last 30 days. ← All markets
PnL (30d)
−$140
Crypto · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$125
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
30%
145W / 337L · 180 open
Win Return (30d)
42%
273W / 381L · 8 open
Trades (30d)
662
across 220 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$1.04
avg win $3 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.49
$136 won / $276 lost
Reward / Risk
1.17
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$47
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $50,042 · all-time $430,720

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.7% 1,447W/2,393L 1746 $23,828
💵 Economy 19.9% 45W/181L 125 $1,302
₿ Crypto 15.9% 33W/174L 85 $847
🏛 Politics 29.4% 5W/12L 60 $836
⚽ Sports 57.9% 33W/24L 47 $334
🎬 Culture 48.0% 12W/13L 28 $350
🤖 Tech 63.6% 7W/4L 25 $219
🔬 Science 4 $30
🌤 Weather 2 $24

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

188 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 106 0.395 $41.88 $40.82 +3850.0%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No 44 0.590 $26.22 $18.22 +227.8%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 678 0.034 $22.71 $22.04 +3250.0%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 55 0.315 $17.44 $14.12 +425.0%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.699 $16.81 $9.81 +140.2%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 27 0.530 $14.27 $7.27 +103.8%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 39 0.363 $14.11 $7.12 +101.7%
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? Yes 117 0.119 $13.88 $10.38 +296.7%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 21 0.650 $13.78 $7.63 +124.1%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? Yes 200 0.067 $13.40 $11.40 +570.0%
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 19 0.650 $12.64 $5.64 +80.6%
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes 64 0.185 $11.77 $4.77 +68.2%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026? Yes 64 0.180 $11.45 $4.45 +63.6%
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 17 0.635 $10.95 $0.95 +9.5%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 11 0.958 $10.80 $3.80 +54.3%
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition Yes 19 0.580 $10.79 $2.79 +34.9%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? Yes 23 0.470 $10.74 $2.74 +34.3%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes 23 0.470 $10.61 $3.61 +51.6%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? Yes 17 0.600 $10.34 $0.34 +3.4%
Will Ildikó Enyedi be the next President of Hungary? Yes 200 0.050 $10.00 $8.00 +400.0%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31? Yes 13 0.755 $9.90 $1.90 +23.8%
Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes 30 0.325 $9.89 $2.89 +41.3%
Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31, 2026? Yes 18 0.540 $9.82 $-0.18 -1.8%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 25 0.390 $9.75 $-1.31 -11.8%
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.873 $9.72 $2.72 +38.9%