Log in
Trader leaderboard/RustyScissors

RustyScissors

0x78c592bd51493e169bc8e1f69be7b6299b66f623
PnL (30d)
−$411
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$704
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-3.4%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
38%
1,443W / 2,388L · 1,985 open
Win Return (30d)
44%
2,507W / 3,152L · 157 open
Trades (30d)
5,816
across 1,746 markets · ~3 per market
EV / position
−$0.40
avg win $4 · loss $3
Profit Factor
0.78
$1,418 won / $1,830 lost
Reward / Risk
1.29
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$196
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $50,042 · all-time $430,720

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Category Win Resolved (per trade) Markets Volume
🌐 All markets 37.7% 1,443W/2,388L 1746 $23,828
💵 Economy 19.5% 43W/178L 125 $1,302
₿ Crypto 15.2% 31W/173L 85 $847
🏛 Politics 29.4% 5W/12L 60 $836
⚽ Sports 57.9% 33W/24L 47 $334
🎬 Culture 48.0% 12W/13L 28 $350
🤖 Tech 63.6% 7W/4L 25 $219
🔬 Science 4 $30
🌤 Weather 2 $24

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

191 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
Market Outcome Size Cur. price Current value Cash PnL %
Will Vinted: Pre-loved Marketplace be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on August 7? Yes 106 0.355 $37.64 $36.58 +3450.0%
Will Apple release a touchscreen MacBook in 2026? No 44 0.590 $26.22 $18.22 +227.8%
Will Wayne Rooney attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding? Yes 678 0.029 $20.00 $19.32 +2850.0%
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2027? No 55 0.315 $17.44 $14.12 +425.0%
Putin meets with Iranian officials by August 31? No 24 0.699 $16.81 $9.81 +140.2%
Will Concrete launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 27 0.525 $14.13 $7.13 +101.9%
Will the next Prime Minister of Romania be a member of PSD? Yes 39 0.363 $14.11 $7.12 +101.7%
Will voter turnout be 62% or higher in the 2026 Russian parliamentary election? Yes 117 0.119 $13.88 $10.38 +296.7%
California Higher Local Tax Vote Threshold Proposition No 21 0.640 $13.57 $7.42 +120.7%
Will the number of votes cast in the 2026 Clacton by-election be between 10,000-20,000? Yes 200 0.067 $13.40 $11.40 +570.0%
Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $330 Week of August 3 2026? Yes 17 0.770 $12.83 $3.83 +42.6%
Will Tabi launch a token by June 30, 2027? No 19 0.630 $12.25 $5.25 +75.0%
Hurupay FDV above $10M one day after launch? Yes 64 0.190 $12.09 $5.09 +72.7%
Iran successfully targets shipping on August 6, 2026? Yes 64 0.180 $11.45 $4.45 +63.6%
Will the Bank of Brazil make no change to the target for the Selic rate at the November meeting? Yes 23 0.480 $10.97 $2.97 +37.1%
Will City Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? No 17 0.635 $10.95 $0.95 +9.5%
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1600.00 and 1699.99 at the end of December 2026? Yes 23 0.480 $10.84 $3.84 +54.8%
Will Macky Sall be the next Secretary-General of the United Nations? No 11 0.958 $10.80 $3.80 +54.3%
California Homebuying Loan Program Proposition Yes 19 0.580 $10.79 $2.79 +34.9%
Will LI.FI launch a token by March 31, 2027? Yes 30 0.350 $10.65 $3.65 +52.2%
Will Revolut's valuation hit (HIGH) $110B by August 31? Yes 13 0.790 $10.36 $2.36 +29.5%
Will two SpaceX Starships dock together by December 31, 2027? Yes 17 0.600 $10.34 $0.34 +3.4%
Will the Senate vote on the CLARITY Act before the August recess? No 18 0.560 $10.08 $1.08 +12.0%
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No 25 0.390 $9.75 $-1.31 -11.8%
Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026? No 11 0.874 $9.73 $2.73 +39.1%