Smart-bettor7
0x7845161180695b5741fa3d71f203eaaac497417b
Scoped to Politics — every figure below is this category, last 30 days.
← All markets
PnL (30d)
+$2,708
Politics · last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
$0
no open positions
ROI (30d)
+40.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
43%
3W / 4L
Win Return (30d)
43%
3W / 4L
Trades (30d)
7
across 4 markets · ~2 per market
EV / position
+$676.90
avg win $1,383 · loss $30
Profit Factor
46.66
$2,767 won / $59 lost
Reward / Risk
46.66
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
$0
no drawdown
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,153,809
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.845 |
$1,689.99 |
$170.00 |
+11.2% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.540 |
$1,080.99 |
$374.87 |
+53.1% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.213 |
$427.09 |
$132.71 |
+45.1% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? |
Yes |
258 |
0.119 |
$30.79 |
$-4.93 |
-13.8% |