Smart-bettor7
0x7845161180695b5741fa3d71f203eaaac497417b
PnL (30d)
−$4,095
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$192
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-10.6%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
72%
67W / 26L · 16 open
Win Return (30d)
76%
83W / 26L
Trades (30d)
109
across 24 markets · ~5 per market
EV / position
−$186.15
avg win $734 · loss $1,796
Profit Factor
0.71
$10,271 won / $14,366 lost
Reward / Risk
0.41
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$2,204
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · all-time $1,153,809
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
4 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? |
No |
2,000 |
0.835 |
$1,669.99 |
$150.00 |
+9.9% |
| Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.535 |
$1,070.99 |
$364.87 |
+51.7% |
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? |
Yes |
2,000 |
0.213 |
$427.09 |
$132.71 |
+45.1% |
| Will Drake be the top artist for 2026? |
Yes |
258 |
0.119 |
$30.79 |
$-4.93 |
-13.8% |