PnL (30d)

+$1,211

Politics · last 30 days · trade-based

Open (30d)

−$64

unresolved · marked to price

ROI (30d)

+20.0%

PnL ÷ 30d buy volume

Win Resolved (30d)

83%

38W / 8L · 2 open

Win Return (30d)

79%

38W / 10L

Trades (30d)

48

across 7 markets · ~7 per market

EV / position

+$242.19

avg win $326 · loss $93

Profit Factor

13.98

$1,304 won / $93 lost

Reward / Risk

3.50

avg win ÷ avg loss

Max Drawdown

−$93

peak → trough (30d)

By category last 30d

click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills

Category	Win Resolved (per trade)	Markets	Volume
🌐 All markets	25.2% 244W/725L	34	$581,416
🏛 Politics	82.6% 38W/8L	6	$11,102
💵 Economy	82.6% 38W/8L	5	$11,062

Equity curve

realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure

Open positions

3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL

Market	Outcome	Size	Cur. price	Current value	Cash PnL	%
New pandemic in 2026?	Yes	483	0.065	$31.37	$-32.67	-51.0%
Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31?	OpenAI	88	0.180	$15.81	$-0.88	-5.3%
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	Yes	798	0.005	$3.99	$-35.90	-90.0%