HorribleWork
0x78048aa26ac1967566b8ed11910b529e5f2d7025
PnL (30d)
−$100,310
last 30 days · trade-based
Open (30d)
+$5
unresolved · marked to price
ROI (30d)
-18.5%
PnL ÷ 30d buy volume
Win Resolved (30d)
25%
244W / 725L · 9 open
Win Return (30d)
26%
251W / 727L
Trades (30d)
978
across 34 markets · ~29 per market
EV / position
−$3,235.79
avg win $8,549 · loss $11,747
Profit Factor
0.53
$111,133 won / $211,443 lost
Reward / Risk
0.73
avg win ÷ avg loss
Max Drawdown
−$93
peak → trough (30d)
Volume (exact Polymarket) · 30d $33,696 · all-time $26,984,190
By category last 30d
click a category to scope this profile to it · All markets resets · per-trade win rate, live from the last 30d of fills
Equity curve
realized PnL over visible trades · last 30d · a trend, not the exact figure
Open positions
3 unresolved · live from Polymarket · unrealized, NOT in realized PnL
| Market |
Outcome |
Size |
Cur. price |
Current value |
Cash PnL |
% |
| New pandemic in 2026? |
Yes |
483 |
0.065 |
$31.37 |
$-32.67 |
-51.0% |
| Anthropic vs OpenAI - higher valuation on December 31? |
OpenAI |
88 |
0.180 |
$15.81 |
$-0.88 |
-5.3% |
| Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? |
Yes |
798 |
0.004 |
$2.79 |
$-37.09 |
-93.0% |